Jessica Pegula vs Mayar Sherif Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do Pegula and Sherif compare in second serve points? Pegula is ahead, winning 45.19% compared to Sherif’s 41.68% in recent form.
• Looking at return game stats, Pegula wins 48.99% of her opponent's second serve points, while Sherif edges ahead slightly with 50.48%.
• For first serve returns, Sherif shows a stronger performance with 33.65% compared to Pegula’s 28.51%.
• Under pressure, Pegula saves 53.73% of breakpoints, showing slightly better defense than Sherif, who saves 50.31%.
• Performance over the last year reveals Pegula winning 68.66% of her matches, surpassing Sherif’s 59.26% win rate.
• Is surface preference a factor? Pegula excels on Hard courts with a 67% win rate, while Sherif is more successful on Clay with a 74% win rate.
• Analyzing player level, Pegula competes primarily at Masters series with a 58.62% win rate, whereas Sherif has excelled in Challengers/ITF tournaments with 83.78% wins.
• In terms of opponent quality, Pegula faces higher-ranked competitors, averaging a rank of 56.52, unlike Sherif’s average opponent rank of 184.19.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Pegula has a marginal edge, winning 55% compared to Sherif’s 50%.
• Break point conversion rates illustrate Sherif’s slight advantage, converting 36.84% of opportunities over Pegula’s 35.32%.

Editorial Prediction (August 24, 2025, UTC):

Pegula and Sherif enter this match each with distinct strengths. Pegula has shown superiority in second serve performance and match-winning consistency over the past year. Her ability to handle breakpoints with resilience puts her in a favorable position, offering reliability under pressure.

Sherif, however, brings notable efficiency in return games, especially on first serves, and has a slightly better breakpoint conversion rate. Her skills on Clay might not be as impactful in this context, but her recent performances are commendable, particularly in the tournaments she has participated in more frequently.

Despite Sherif's formidable skills on return and break point opportunities, Pegula's consistent high-level competition experience and a stronger performance record on hard surfaces are likely to tilt the match in her favor. Therefore, Pegula is predicted to be the likely winner of this upcoming tennis match.